Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.045659 0.049694 0.053785 0.058236 0.062936 0.067744 0.073027
2025-01-19 0.039816 0.045778 0.052043 0.059092 0.066776 0.074872 0.084021
2025-01-26 0.034390 0.041628 0.049491 0.058607 0.068824 0.079861 0.092629
2025-02-02 0.030510 0.038729 0.047930 0.058885 0.071459 0.085336 0.101701
2025-02-09 0.027837 0.036895 0.047314 0.060010 0.074887 0.091600 0.111627
2025-02-16 0.026330 0.036246 0.047923 0.062434 0.079732 0.099453 0.123392
2025-02-23 0.022748 0.032769 0.044899 0.060322 0.079070 0.100797 0.127551
2025-03-02 0.020330 0.030533 0.043199 0.059633 0.079953 0.103838 0.133608
2025-03-09 0.018340 0.028681 0.041830 0.059219 0.081060 0.107066 0.139836
2025-03-16 0.017603 0.028418 0.042429 0.061228 0.085124 0.113850 0.150342
2025-03-23 0.016589 0.027692 0.042357 0.062331 0.088027 0.119216 0.159158
2025-03-30 0.015566 0.026871 0.042094 0.063134 0.090518 0.124064 0.167355
2025-04-06 0.014124 0.025382 0.040894 0.062701 0.091467 0.127079 0.173438
2025-04-13 0.013272 0.024695 0.040746 0.063637 0.094170 0.132299 0.182287
2025-04-20 0.012034 0.023336 0.039585 0.063144 0.094971 0.135106 0.188144
2025-04-27 0.011150 0.022452 0.039039 0.063446 0.096786 0.139189 0.195607
2025-05-04 0.010599 0.022049 0.039155 0.064637 0.099770 0.144769 0.204981
2025-05-11 0.010465 0.022310 0.040238 0.067191 0.104604 0.152767 0.217476
2025-05-18 0.009090 0.020404 0.038007 0.064970 0.102917 0.152272 0.219126
2025-05-25 0.008210 0.019264 0.036864 0.064245 0.103217 0.154331 0.224022
2025-06-01 0.007473 0.018309 0.035953 0.063810 0.103879 0.156843 0.229495
2025-06-08 0.007349 0.018456 0.036771 0.065926 0.108108 0.164102 0.241166
2025-06-15 0.007030 0.018215 0.036953 0.067086 0.111000 0.169599 0.250576